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Policy Watch

What Congress, the White House, the courts and the states are deciding, where each item stands, and what to watch next. We follow the record, not the party.

First watchlist, reviewed Nov 7, 2026. Democrats won both chambers on Nov 3, and the 120th Congress convenes Jan 3, 2027 (NPR). Until then the current Congress holds a lame-duck session that returns the week of Nov 9. Every fact below carries a grade: Verified means we read the primary document (a bill record, roll call, order, opinion or notice) and it says what we report. Reported means a reliable secondary source reports it and we have not found the primary record. Neither grade says a position is right. Each entry lists its sources. Outlooks are added to an item once its base rate has been read; until then the only live policy outlooks are on The Companion Question.
Part one · Priority one

Policy trackers

Policy that bears on a subject one of our trackers already covers. Each entry links to its tracker.

At a glance

Ordered by next decision date. Reviewed Nov 7, 2026.
ItemWhere it standsNext decision
CLARITY Act (H.R. 3633): digital asset market structurePassed one chamber; stalled in the SenateWeek of Nov 9
Iran war: war powers and fundingPassed the House; failed in the SenateDec 11
AI companions and minors: GUARD Act and KIDS ActReported by Senate committee; KIDS Act passed the HouseJan 3, 2027
NASA authorization: H.R. 7273 and S. 933Ordered reported in both chambersJan 3, 2027
Haiti: the Gang Suppression Force and Haitians' status in the U.S.In effect; litigation on remandMar 31, 2027
Federal preemption of state AI lawsExecutive order in effect; no statuteNo date set
Russia sanctions: the Graham Act and the presidential waiverSigned into law; waived by executive orderNo date set
Louisiana v. Callais: the Voting Rights Act and redistrictingIn effect: Supreme Court rulingNo date set

CLARITY Act (H.R. 3633): digital asset market structure

Whether Congress sets federal rules for digital asset markets before the 119th Congress ends.

Where it standsPassed one chamber; stalled in the Senate

Record

  • Jul 17, 2025
    The House passed H.R. 3633, 294-134 (Roll 199). Verified Congress.gov: H.R. 3633
  • May 2026
    The Senate Banking Committee ordered it reported, and it was reported Jun 1 (Senate Calendar No. 423). Sen. Cynthia Lummis's office puts the committee vote at 15 to 9. Verified Congress.gov: H.R. 3633 · Sen. Lummis release
  • Sept 15, 2026
    The motion to invoke cloture on the motion to proceed failed, 49-50 (Record Vote 234; 60 needed). Every Democrat who voted voted no, as did Republican Sens. Susan Collins, Josh Hawley, Jerry Moran and Tillis. Tillis recorded his no to preserve a motion to reconsider. Sen. Chris Coons did not vote. Verified Senate Daily Press, Sept 15 · Galaxy Research
  • Since
    A law-firm review says the bill "appears effectively dead for 2026," though the motion to reconsider means it is not formally dead. Galaxy Research put the odds of a revival after the vote as "very low." Reported Yahoo Finance · Galaxy Research

Positions

  • For
    Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R-WY): said Senate Democrats "proved they were never truly serious about protecting consumers and preserving American leadership." Her office says the final text carried 126 changes made at Democrats' request. Sen. Lummis statement
  • Against
    Sen. Angela Alsobrooks (D-MD): said Democrats needed "very clear ethics in place to prevent the grift and the corruption that we have seen from this administration." Galaxy Research
  • Against
    Sens. Hawley and Moran voted no and each cited the stablecoin yield question, per Galaxy Research. Galaxy Research
  • Disputed
    Banking trade groups, including the American Bankers Association, called the bill's deposit-flight "circuit breaker" "not a safeguard at all" because it would act only after substantial deposit flight. Yahoo Finance
Next

Congress returns the week of Nov 9. Sen. Thom Tillis's motion to reconsider the failed Sept 15 vote is still pending. A bill that is not enacted by Jan 3, 2027, when the 119th Congress ends, has to be reintroduced. Senate Daily Press, Sept 15 · The Hill · NPR

Iran war: war powers and funding

Whether Congress limits, ends or funds the U.S. war with Iran.

Where it standsPassed the House; failed in the Senate

Record

  • Feb 28, 2026
    The U.S. war with Iran began, according to AP. Reported AP
  • Jul 23, 2026
    The House agreed to H.Con.Res. 89 (Rep. Pramila Jayapal, D-WA), 214-208 (Roll 282). Verified Congress.gov: H.Con.Res. 89
  • Sept 24, 2026
    The Senate rejected H.Con.Res. 89, 49-50 (Vote 244). Republican Sens. Collins, Lisa Murkowski, Rand Paul and Tillis voted yes. Democratic Sen. John Fetterman voted no, and Alsobrooks did not vote. Verified Senate Daily Press, Sept 24 · Senate floor activity
  • Sept 24, 2026
    AP counted it as the Senate's 14th war powers vote since Feb 28, and notes a concurrent resolution does not go to the president. AP also reports a White House request for $87.6 billion for the war and other needs that had "idled in Congress," and a war cost of $43.5 billion to date. Reported AP

Positions

  • For
    Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA), quoted by AP: "They have been carrying water for this ridiculous and illegal war for months and months and months and not listening to their constituents." AP
  • For
    Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC): "We've got to break the cycle." AP
  • Against
    Sen. Josh Hawley (R-MO): opposes the resolution and believes the president is acting within his authority. "My own view is that the focus right now needs to be on attacking the cost of living issues." AP
  • Open
    House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries: "it is clear from this election that the American people are demanding accountability and an end to the war." He has not said whether Democrats will condition funding on it. Politico
Next

Dec 11 is the year-end funding deadline. Some Democrats want that bill to block money for the conflict, and party leaders have not said whether they will. Congress returns the week of Nov 9. Politico · The Hill

AI companions and minors: GUARD Act and KIDS Act

Whether federal law restricts AI companion chatbots for minors, and how it sits beside state laws.

Where it standsReported by Senate committee; KIDS Act passed the House

Record

  • Oct 28, 2025
    Sen. Josh Hawley (R-MO) introduced S. 3062, the GUARD Act, with Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-CT) and others. It would ban AI companions for minors, require age verification and disclosure that a chatbot is not human, and set penalties of up to $100,000 per violation. Verified Congress.gov: S. 3062
  • Apr 30, 2026
    The Senate Judiciary Committee ordered S. 3062 reported. It was reported May 11 with a substitute amendment (Senate Calendar No. 406). No later action is recorded. The committee vote was unanimous, per The Hill. Verified Congress.gov: S. 3062 · The Hill
  • Apr 30, 2026
    Rep. Blake Moore introduced a House companion, H.R. 8623, referred to the Judiciary and Energy and Commerce Committees. No later action is recorded. Verified Congress.gov: H.R. 8623
  • Jun 29, 2026
    The House passed the KIDS Act (H.R. 7757, Rep. Brett Guthrie), 267-117 (Roll 228). It includes an AI chatbot disclosure provision, and the Kids Online Safety Act duty of care was removed. It reached the Senate Jul 13 and was referred to the Commerce Committee. Verified Congress.gov: H.R. 7757 · CRS LSB11465 · NBC News

Positions

  • For
    Sens. Hawley and Blumenthal, the GUARD Act's lead sponsors. The Hill
  • Mixed
    Sens. Alex Padilla (D-CA) and Ted Cruz (R-TX) voted yes in committee and flagged age verification and revisions they want. The Hill
  • Against
    The Electronic Frontier Foundation calls the GUARD Act a "surveillance mandate disguised as child safety." The Future of Free Speech and Fight for the Future also oppose it. EFF
Next

Jan 3, 2027: the 119th Congress ends, and bills not enacted by then lapse. The New York chatbot bill S9051B is tracked on The Companion Question, with checks set for Jan 12 and Jan 26, 2027. NPR

Reviewed Nov 7, 2026

NASA authorization: H.R. 7273 and S. 933

Whether Congress authorizes NASA's budget, a Moon base and the path off the International Space Station.

Where it standsOrdered reported in both chambers

Record

  • Jan 30, 2026
    Rep. Brian Babin introduced H.R. 7273, the NASA Reauthorization Act of 2026. The House committee ordered it reported Feb 4, 37-0. No later action is recorded. Verified Congress.gov: H.R. 7273
  • Mar 4, 2026
    The Senate Commerce Committee passed S. 933 by voice vote with a Cruz-Cantwell substitute, titled the NASA Authorization Act of 2026. No later action is recorded. Verified Congress.gov: S. 933 · Senate Commerce release
  • Mar 4, 2026
    The Senate substitute authorizes $24.7 billion for FY2026 and $25.3 billion for FY2027, directs a permanent Moon base, and extends ISS operations from 2030 to Sept 30, 2032. NASA could begin transferring operations once a commercial station has shown it can do the ISS's work for a full year. Verified Senate Commerce release

Positions

  • For
    Sen. Maria Cantwell (D-WA): "For the first time, it authorizes NASA to establish a permanent Moon base as part of sustained American presence on the lunar surface and defines a transition process to end operations on the ISS and shift to commercial space stations." Senate Commerce release
  • For
    Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), committee chair: the bill directs a permanent Moon base "so we can get there before the Chinese" and extends the ISS through 2032, requiring two independent commercial space stations to launch before the ISS can be retired. Sen. Cruz statement
Next

No floor action is recorded in either chamber. Jan 3, 2027: the 119th Congress ends, and bills not enacted by then lapse. The authorization competes for floor time with funding, the defense bill and other year-end items. NPR

Reviewed Nov 7, 2026

Haiti: the Gang Suppression Force and Haitians' status in the U.S.

How long the UN-authorized force is mandated, and what the Supreme Court's ruling means for Haitians with Temporary Protected Status.

Where it standsIn effect; litigation on remand

Record

  • Jun 25, 2026
    In Mullin v. Doe (No. 25-1083), the Supreme Court held 6-3 that the Temporary Protected Status statute bars court review of non-constitutional challenges, found the Haitian plaintiffs' equal protection claim "unlikely to succeed," and reversed and remanded. Justice Alito wrote for the Court. Justices Kagan, Sotomayor and Jackson dissented. Verified Supreme Court opinion · CRS LSB11446
  • Jul 27, 2026
    DHS's termination of Temporary Protected Status for Haiti took effect. Verified USCIS notice
  • Sept 29, 2026
    UN Security Council Resolution 2829 renewed the Gang Suppression Force in Haiti for six months, to Mar 31, 2027. The vote was 12-0-3, with China, Pakistan and Russia abstaining. Verified UN press release

Positions

  • Stated
    United States: the Force "exists and, better yet, it is beginning to work," taking the fight to gangs and clearing roads and neighbourhoods. UN press release
  • Stated
    Haiti: welcomed the renewal and said the Force needs personnel, equipment and operational capabilities to become fully operational. "It is not enough to take territory from the gangs." UN press release
  • Abstained
    China: the crisis is "not a simple security question," and it questioned whether an external force would ease it. Russia: questioned the Force's model and financing. Pakistan: Haiti needs a "holistic response that is nationally owned and executed." UN press release
Next

Mar 31, 2027: the Gang Suppression Force mandate expires unless the Security Council renews it. The lower-court status of the Haitian plaintiffs' constitutional claim after remand has not yet been reviewed. UN press release

Federal preemption of state AI laws

Whether the federal government displaces state AI laws, by executive action, litigation or statute.

Where it standsExecutive order in effect; no statute

Record

  • Dec 11, 2025
    Executive Order 14365 set a national policy framework for AI (published Dec 16, 90 FR 58499). It directs a Justice Department litigation task force within 30 days and a Commerce evaluation of state AI laws within 90 days, adds conditions on federal broadband funds, calls for FCC and FTC action, and asks for a legislative recommendation that is not to preempt state child-safety laws. Verified Federal Register: EO 14365
  • Jan 9, 2026
    The Justice Department created the AI Litigation Task Force. Verified Justice Department memo
  • Apr 24, 2026
    The Justice Department moved to intervene in xAI's lawsuit challenging the Colorado AI Act. Reported Jenner & Block
  • Since Mar 11, 2026
    The order set Mar 11, 2026 for Commerce to publish an evaluation of state AI laws. Jenner & Block reported on Apr 29 that Commerce had "yet to publicly release such a list," and we have not found one since. No preemption statute has been enacted. Reported Jenner & Block

Positions

  • For
    Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) wants a federal standard in place of what he calls a "patchwork of state laws." Tech Times, Nov 6
  • Against
    Sen. Maria Cantwell (D-WA) opposes overriding state AI laws. Tech Times, Nov 6
  • Context
    A draft reportedly led by Sens. Amy Klobuchar, John Thune and Cruz includes preemption language. In 2025 the Senate voted 99-1 to strip a proposed 10-year moratorium on state AI laws from a budget bill. Tech Times, Nov 6
Next

No dated decision point. Watch for the Commerce evaluation of state laws, new Justice Department suits against state laws, and any preemption language in a bill in the new Congress, which convenes Jan 3, 2027. NPR

Russia sanctions: the Graham Act and the presidential waiver

Whether the sanctions and tariffs Congress mandated against Russia are ever applied.

Where it standsSigned into law; waived by executive order

Record

  • Aug 7, 2026
    The Senate passed H.R. 5334, the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026, with an amendment, 86-11 (Roll 224). Verified Congress.gov: H.R. 5334
  • Sept 16-18, 2026
    The House agreed to the Senate amendments, 262-159 (Roll 308), and the president signed the bill on Sept 18 as Public Law 119-111. Verified House Roll 308 · Congress.gov: H.R. 5334
  • Sept 2026
    The Act directs sanctions and tariffs on Russia within 30 days, including duties of up to 500% on Russian goods and up to 100% on the top buyers of Russian energy, with a national-interest waiver under Section 115. It also extends the Iran Sanctions Act through 2031. Reported Legal500
  • Oct 16, 2026
    Executive Order 14436 waived the Act's duties and its listed sanctions provisions under Section 115(a). The waivers last until the President or the Secretary of State determine that further action is appropriate. The order says it does not affect earlier Russia sanctions. Verified Federal Register: EO 14436
  • Oct 2026
    The president's certification to Congress says he or his delegee will apply the sanctions provisions, and the increased duty rate, if needed "to incentivize resolution of the Russia-Ukraine war" or if circumstances change. Verified House Document 119-202

Positions

  • Against waiver
    Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC): "What part of enforcing a law passed 86-11 by the Senate does the President and his advisors not understand?" AP
  • For waiver
    The president, in his certification to Congress: waiving the sanctions is in "the national interests of the United States." He says he will apply them if he determines it is necessary to incentivize resolution of the war. House Document 119-202
Next

No dated decision point. The waivers stay in effect until the President or the Secretary of State decide "further action is appropriate." Congress returns the week of Nov 9. Federal Register: EO 14436 · The Hill

Louisiana v. Callais: the Voting Rights Act and redistricting

How the Supreme Court's ruling changes the legal test for vote-dilution claims and the maps drawn under it.

Where it standsIn effect: Supreme Court ruling

Record

  • Apr 29, 2026
    In Louisiana v. Callais (No. 24-109), the Supreme Court held 6-3 that Louisiana's SB8 congressional map was an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, because Louisiana intentionally drew District 6 with a Black voting-age population over 50% and no compelling interest justified it. Justice Alito wrote for the Court. Justices Kagan, Sotomayor and Jackson dissented. Verified Supreme Court opinion
  • Apr 29, 2026
    The Court updated the Gingles framework for Section 2 vote-dilution claims. Illustrative maps may not use race, plaintiffs must control for party affiliation, and the totality-of-circumstances inquiry must focus on present-day intentional racial discrimination. Verified Supreme Court opinion

Positions

  • Majority
    Justice Samuel Alito, for the Court: compliance with Section 2 can be a compelling interest, but Louisiana was not required to create an additional majority-minority district. Supreme Court opinion
  • Concurring
    Justice Clarence Thomas, concurring: Section 2 does not regulate districting at all, so no Section 2 challenge to districting should succeed. Supreme Court opinion
  • Dissent
    Justice Elena Kagan: the majority turns Section 2's effects test into an intent test, and "betrays Congress's choice." Supreme Court opinion
Next

No dated decision point. State and lower-court responses to the ruling have not yet been reviewed against primary records, so none are listed. They will be added as each is confirmed.

Part two · Priority two

Agendas

The large national debates that fill the congressional calendar. In 2027, each agenda gets its own page tracking the key policies, legislation and rulings moving it. Until then, the item moving each agenda now is below.

At a glance

Ordered by next decision date. Reviewed Nov 7, 2026.
ItemWhere it standsNext decision
Defense policy: the FY2027 NDAAPassed the House; stalled in the SenateWeek of Nov 9
Trade and tariffs: after the IEEPA rulingIn courtNov 12
Government funding: the Dec 11 deadlineSigned: stopgap in effectDec 11
Health care: expired ACA premium tax creditsPassed one chamber; stalled in the SenateDec 15
Agenda page opens in 2027
Reviewed Nov 7, 2026

Defense policy: the FY2027 NDAA

Whether Congress finishes the annual defense authorization, and what rides on it.

Where it standsPassed the House; stalled in the Senate

Record

  • Jun 2026
    The Senate Armed Services Committee voted 18-9 on Jun 10 for S. 4784 (Sen. Roger Wicker). It was reported Jun 15 (S. Rept. 119-127, Senate Calendar No. 436). Verified Congress.gov: S. 4784
  • Jul 14, 2026
    Cloture on the motion to proceed to S. 4784 failed, 50-46 (Record Vote 195; 60 needed). A motion to reconsider is pending, and the last Senate action was Jul 27. Verified Congress.gov: S. 4784 · CRS IN12704
  • Jul 22, 2026
    The House passed H.R. 8800, 216-212 (Roll 278), after the rule passed 214-211 on Jul 21. The Senate received it Sept 14. Verified Congress.gov: H.R. 8800
  • Nov 2026
    The Hill reports rising concern that the 65-year streak of passing the NDAA is in jeopardy after the election. Reported The Hill

Positions

  • For
    Rep. Mike Rogers (R-AL), House Armed Services chair: "the NDAA continues to be my highest priority," and failure "would not only weaken American deterrence" but abandon support for service members. States Newsroom via Agriculture.com
  • Against
    Senate Democrats have rejected the administration's $1.5 trillion defense request as a nonstarter, per The Hill. The Hill
  • Stated
    Sen. Mike Rounds (R-SD): "I think the NDAA will come together after the election." The Hill
Next

Congress returns the week of Nov 9 and a single text is expected to be worked out in the lame-duck session. Reporting says the 65-year streak of passing the NDAA is at risk. The Hill · The Hill, Nov 7

Agenda page opens in 2027
Reviewed Nov 7, 2026

Trade and tariffs: after the IEEPA ruling

Which legal authority the president can use for broad tariffs, now that the Supreme Court has ruled on IEEPA.

Where it standsIn court

Record

  • Feb 20, 2026
    In Learning Resources v. Trump (No. 24-1287), the Supreme Court held 6-3 that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not authorize the tariffs. Chief Justice Roberts wrote for the Court. Justice Kavanaugh dissented, joined by Justices Thomas and Alito. Verified Supreme Court opinion · CRS LSB11398
  • Jul 23-28, 2026
    The U.S. Trade Representative imposed Section 301 tariffs of 10% or 12.5% on 60 economies over forced-labor import rules (91 FR 47318, published Jul 28). Verified Federal Register notice · USTR press release
  • Aug 3, 2026
    A group of states including Oregon, Arizona and California sued in the Court of International Trade to challenge the Section 301 tariffs. Reporting dates the suit to Aug 3 and counts 25 states, says the court heard argument Sept 30, and says supplemental briefing closed Oct 16. Reported States' complaint · TaxProf Blog
  • May-Jul 2026
    The Section 122 tariff that replaced the IEEPA tariffs expired Jul 24. The Court of International Trade ruled 2-1 against it on May 7, with relief limited to three plaintiffs. The Federal Circuit stayed that ruling Jun 11, and the appeal is pending. Reported American Bar Association · TaxProf Blog

Positions

  • For
    U.S. Trade Representative: the 60 economies' failure to prohibit forced-labor imports is "unreasonable and burdens or restricts U.S. commerce," and so actionable under Section 301. USTR press release, Jun 2
  • Against
    The plaintiff states: "The Tariff Action does not comply with Section 301 or any other statute." States' complaint
  • Dissent
    Justice Kavanaugh: IEEPA's authority to "regulate . . . importation" includes tariffs, by ordinary meaning, historical practice and precedent. Supreme Court opinion
Next

Nov 12 is reported as the due date for the government's reply brief in the Federal Circuit appeal over the Section 122 tariffs. A Court of International Trade ruling on the Section 301 tariffs is pending, with no date set. TaxProf Blog

Agenda page opens in 2027
Reviewed Nov 7, 2026

Government funding: the Dec 11 deadline

What replaces the stopgap that funds the government through Dec 11.

Where it standsSigned: stopgap in effect

Record

  • Aug 8, 2026
    The Senate passed H.R. 6500, the Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2027, with an amendment, 90-6 (Record Vote 228). Verified Congress.gov: H.R. 6500
  • Sept 1-2, 2026
    The House agreed to the Senate amendment, 370-48 (Roll 286), and the president signed it Sept 2 as Public Law 119-103. It funds the government through Dec 11, 2026. Verified Congress.gov: H.R. 6500 · CRS R49353
  • Nov 2026
    No regular FY2027 appropriations bill has been enacted. The House has passed three of the 12 and the Senate none, per the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. Reported Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget

Positions

  • For full-year bills
    House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries has said he favors doing the appropriations bills in the lame-duck period, per Legal500. Legal500
  • For an omnibus
    Sen. Mike Rounds (R-SD) expects Republicans to move an omnibus with emergency Pentagon funding, then a separate reconciliation bill for the Iran war. The Hill
  • Expected
    Unnamed senior congressional aides told Politico, and Republican and Democratic Senate sources told The Hill, that the most likely outcome is another stopgap into early 2027. Politico · The Hill
  • Open
    Sen. Chuck Schumer said he is working with Sen. Patty Murray "to get something done" before the deadline, and did not say whether he will demand a cutoff of war money. Politico
Next

Dec 11, 2026: the stopgap expires, and a funding gap would begin Dec 12 for any agency without a new law. Congress returns the week of Nov 9. CRS R49353 · The Hill

Agenda page opens in 2027
Reviewed Nov 7, 2026

Health care: expired ACA premium tax credits

Whether Congress restores the enhanced Affordable Care Act credits that expired Jan 1, 2026.

Where it standsPassed one chamber; stalled in the Senate

Record

  • Jan 1, 2026
    The enhanced premium tax credits expired under their sunset in P.L. 117-169. Verified CRS R48290
  • Dec 11, 2025
    The Senate rejected cloture on the motion to proceed to S. 3385, a three-year extension, 51-48 (Vote 644; 60 needed). Verified Senate roll call 644
  • Jan 8, 2026
    The House passed H.R. 1834, a three-year extension, 230-196 (Roll 11), after a discharge petition forced the vote. It was placed on the Senate calendar Feb 10 (No. 319), and no later action is recorded. Verified Congress.gov: H.R. 1834
  • Now
    HealthCare.gov lists Nov 1 as the start of open enrollment, Dec 15 as the last day to enroll or change plans for coverage starting Jan 1, and Jan 15 as the end of open enrollment. Verified HealthCare.gov

Positions

  • For
    House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries filed the discharge petition that forced the Jan 8 vote. Seventeen Republicans joined 213 Democrats to pass the bill, per AAMC. AAMC · Rep. Luz Rivas release
  • Against
    House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) had refused to bring an extension to the floor, per AAMC. AAMC
  • Mixed
    Rep. Jennifer Kiggans (R-VA) sponsored a bipartisan one-year extension, H.R. 5145, in September 2025. It was referred to the Ways and Means Committee, with no later action recorded. Congress.gov: H.R. 5145
  • Expected
    AAMC reported the House-passed bill was not expected to pass the Senate, and that bipartisan talks pointed to a shorter extension with income limits, fraud-prevention measures and health savings account flexibility. AAMC
Next

Dec 15, 2026: last day to enroll or change plans on HealthCare.gov for coverage starting Jan 1. Open enrollment runs Nov 1 to Jan 15. No Senate vote on the House-passed bill has been recorded since Feb 10. HealthCare.gov

How items are chosen

Priority one: policy trackers

  • A policy qualifies when it bears on a subject one of our trackers covers
  • These sit first on the page, in the Policy trackers band

Priority two: agendas

  • The large national debates that fill the congressional calendar
  • An agenda item is listed when it has a primary document and a dated decision point
  • It links to any tracker it affects, so nothing is counted twice

What every item needs

  • A primary document: bill text, rule, order, ruling or docket
  • A dated decision point or a pending event
  • Supporters and opponents stated in their own terms and attributed by name or party
  • Newest developments first; older material is tagged with its date

What we do not do

  • Add an item because of who sponsors it
  • Judge whether a policy is good or bad. We report status, evidence and what could change it
  • Treat a bill or filing as more than what it is. A filing is verified only as to the fact that it was filed

How status is shown

Status ladder

  • Introduced
  • In committee
  • Passed one chamber
  • Passed both chambers
  • Signed or vetoed
  • In effect
  • In court

Executive orders, rules and rulings use the same idea: issued, proposed, final, in effect, challenged.

Grades and outlooks

  • Claims about an item carry the same claim grades as every tracker
  • An outlook appears only on an item with a dated decision point. It gives a probability and a confidence level, names the base rate, and is checked against what happened
  • Until the new Congress is seated and committee assignments are set, any outlook on a congressional item will carry low confidence

Corrections and changes

  • Nov 7, 2026
    First watchlist published: 8 policy-tracker items and 4 agenda items, each checked against primary records where they exist and marked Verified or Reported.
  • Nov 7, 2026
    Corrected: the Health care agenda card said ACA open enrollment ends Dec 15. HealthCare.gov lists Dec 15 as the last day to enroll for coverage starting Jan 1, and Jan 15 as the end of open enrollment. The card now says so.

When a fact on this page changes or is found wrong, we change it, date it here and keep the entry. See claim grades.

Midterms 2026 · context

The election decided who holds the committee gavels and the vote counts behind every congressional item here. The Midterms 2026 page keeps the early vote, official state counts and the reviewed read on the results.

Open Midterms 2026 MF-01 Elections tracker